ChristinaE12 wrote:You can't compare our country to others.. We aren't other countries to begin with. Also, look at the population differences. That makes quite a big difference.
Knew you'd make this point. It is not obvious to me, however, that this in fact is true. Because, whilst I agree that there may be certain differences between countries, we aren't talking about 'apples and oranges' here. For example, most western-countries are built upon a relatively common institutional ground. For the most part, we have a common legal-systems, on-top of that we have international laws. The same goes for the political-systems, for whilst they may display differences on the surface, they work - in its core - very alike. Also, countries tend to 'move in the same direction' (for lack of better phrasing).The 'Industrial Revolution' began in the UK, but what happened then? Other countries followed. What works GREAT for one country, often works quite well for others too. Just like simplest decision-making theory concludes; if X is to choose between A and B, and X knows that A is better than B, X's rational choice is to choose A. In general, this has been the case for most countries policy-making.
If you have two objects that are very alike in most aspects, but still have some differences (some might be big, and others just details), you can in most cases account for these differences. You can study & calculate the magnitude to which certain factors has a positive or negative effect on a certain response variable, and whether there is any correlation/pattern between certain variables/factors. Then you can, by taking into account the potential differences, make - generalized - conclusions that are of statistical significance.
I do not think one should blindly compare two countries, one must recognize that there ARE differences. But to a certain extent, I would argue that it is in fact of importance to compare countries, and the way they work. I’m SURE you’re policy-makers do just that.
ChristinaE12 wrote:If banning guns is the way to go then why is the UKs gun crime raising. Something like up 35%.. Are people forgetting that our gun crime rate is actually decreasing. Again, lets ignore facts. Cause they aren't true.
I’ve never stated that guns should be banned, have I?
My first thought after reading this particular statment of yours, can be described by a quote from the late Twain;
There are lies, damned lies and statistics. - Mark Twain
This is one of the most frustrating things about politics, and in my view, the biggest flaws of people’s arguments. People with a certain view, tend to look for statistics that solidifies their argument, but miss to reflect on those that aren’t. One must also, when using statistics consider from what source this is being published. Behind all the figures are people, who have views & biases too. Therefore, one should always look at the big-picture; always try to look at all available information.
You say;
“UKs gun crime raising. Something like up 35%..”. Whilst
“our [US] gun crime rate is actually decreasing”.
Is this a representative presentation of the current situation? In a sense, maybe (if the figures you mention are valid). But is it telling the whole story, or even the most important one? Let’see…
From the sources [that are listed here below] you’ll find that in 2011, there were 12.664 homicides/murders in the US, of which 8.583 were caused by firearms. In the UK, on the other hand, there were 551 homicides/murders for the same year. These stats don’t give a fair representation of the whole-picture though (the US is a lot bigger in terms of population).
Instead, let’s compare standardized measurements. I think these are of importance;
1. ‘Homocide by firearm., rate per 100.000 pop’ US = 2.97
UK = 0.07
From this you can calculate the odds-ratio; 2.97/0.7 = 42.43. Which tells you that, after accounting for population differences,
the risk of getting murdered by a firearm is 42 times more likely in the US, compared to the UK.2. ‘% of homicides by firearm’US = 60 %
UK = 6.6 %
Again, the odds-ratio; 0.60/0.066 = 9.09. Which tells you that:
it is ~9 times more likely in the US that a homicide is caused by a firearm, compared to the UK.
3. ‘Average firearms per 100 people’US = 88.2 %
UK = 6.2 %
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Original source:
http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/cr ... -u.s.-2011Newspaper (The Guardian). Seleced stats related to this issue;
http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog ... world-list__________________________
ChristinaE12 wrote:Fact: Guns prevent an estimated 2.5 million crimes a year or 6,849 every day.
Fact: Guns are used for self-defense 2,500,000 times a year in the United States.
That is being ignored for what reasons?
Lol. You repeatedly use the word “fact” in reference to your statements. Do you know what these are? At best, they are estimates. In worst case, biased guesses. Presenting figures like this creates confusion, for it only tells one side of the story, and it is not clear how these figures have been calculated. What is your source?
ChristinaE12 wrote:
Do people also know that suicides by guns are counted as one of these gun statistics. Do people realize that if I shoot someone and kill them in my defense that it also counts as a statistic. It's not so black and white like people think.
Yes, suicides are included in the homicide statistic. But in the figures I’ve just presented, they are included for both the US and the UK. So it doesn’t really matter for the sake of the argument.
Shooting someone ‘in your defense’ might be justified by law, but there is still a human losing his/her life. Which is what really is relevant.
ChristinaE12 wrote:The sooner people realize an inanimate object can't be to blame but the people behind them, the better everyone will be. People are fucked and need help. Start with education. That would help much more than trying to take them away. Fuckin people and no responsibility should be to blame.
People are formed by the nature they live in, and their actions are - at least to a certain degree - a result of which tools they have access to. Take it to an extreme. If we for a second assume everyone has access to a nuclear-weapon. Maybe we can’t blame the ‘inanimate object’, nuclear-weapon in this case, but is a situation like this sustainable?
As far as people being “fucked”. Well, would you argue that people are “fucked” to a larger degree in the US compared to the rest of the world? Probably not. Yes, a lot of effort should be directed at helping people before they even come to the situation in which they consider making the crime. I’ve said this couple of times. But at the same time, we must also realize that we’re not living in a perfect world. Everyone that needs help won’t get it, unfortunately.